Big Trade for Yankees

Baseball Prosepectus figured the odds of the Twins making the playoffs at about 20%. This is based upon their current record, upcoming schedule and educated projections. They ran a simulation a million times and have the Twins averaging 91 wins this season. Good, but not good enough.

The trade for Abreu boosted the Yankees chances over 14%. He is a heck of a player.

That is a bigger increase than any other scenario ran by the simualtion. Higher than even if the Twins had acquired Lee or Soriano.

20% isn't bad. It is much better than the 4% chance the Twins had at the beginning of June.

Maybe the two Sox can start choking.