Can Nathan turn it around?

Yes!!!

I wrote about BAPIP in an article last June in "No Defense for Crain" so I won't go over it too much here. But I think it is important to note it when talking about Nathan's trouble's so far this year, they are earily similar to Crain's

It is important to note that Crain improved last year after I posted that article and that I believe the same thing will happen happen to Joe this year.

Nathan has a high BAPIP so far this year, .419. Over 40% of all the balls in play are becoming hits. Combine that with the fact that so far his strikeouts are way down to 3.86 per 9 innings, and you have a pitcher that is not looking good.

Last season he had a BAPIP of .241 and K'ed 12.5 batters per 9 innings. He won't match those numbers but we all know that he will eventually strikeout more hitters and eventually the balls in play will normalize and those hits will become outs.

Its good that it is happening now and the Twins are still winning. When Joe turns it around it will help the Twins even more.

We have nothing to worry about concerning Joe Nathan. The one caveat is that I don't know if Joe is hiding an injury.

Play of the Day: The Twins are favored tonight and I have them at over 2 to 1 favorites and line is -165 so bet the farm.

No other games look too good. The System is up and running again with some adjustements to make it easier to use and to make changes easier. I still have to tweak some of the numbers to include ballpark data and pitcher/batter tendencies. But until then it is still being used.

The System did have the Twins as an underdog last night but did point out that they were a good bet because of the line. It was correct.