Friday, August 18, 2006

Big weekend for the Twins

This is the biggest weekend of the year for the Twins. They are now 2 back in the Wild Card race and need to take 2 out of 3 to keep pace. If they lose all 3 it isn't over but it won't look good being 5 back.

But if the Twins win they will be 1 game up in the wild card race.

The pitching matchups look good for the Twins. Tonight is Bonser vs Garcia. My metrics actually show Boof as a very slight favorite. Tommorrow will be Garland vs Radke. I have the Whiteys as a very small, slight favorite in that game.

But on Sunday the match-up really favors the Twins. It is Santana vs Vazquez. Santana is hot right now and my metrics have him as a huge favorite.

2 out of 3 looks very feasible. The first 2 nights are basically coin flips. But if the Twins really have a home field advantage they should easily win 1 of those games.

The average home field advantage is .040, for tht Twins it is much greater so lets see them use some of that Dome magic this weekend.

Make sure to keep an on eye on the Yankees/Red Sox series this weekend (like we will have a choice). They are playing a 5 game series in Boston. I think we should be rooting for a yankees sweep.

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